The New York Yankees (23-17) and the Seattle Mariners (22-17) open a 3-game series Monday. First pitch from T-Mobile Park is at 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Yankees vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Yankees won 4-3 in 2024
The Yankees have won 3 of their last 4 games and are coming off a 12-2 win over the Athletics in Sacramento Sunday. They had two 5-run innings. OF Aaron Judge went 4-for-5, driving in 2 runs, and 1B Paul Goldschmidt hit 3 doubles and drove in 2.
The Mariners have gone 8-5 over their last 13 games but are coming off a 3-game sweep at home by the Toronto Blue Jays. They dropped Sunday’s finale 9-1, as SP Bryce Miller allowed 7 runs over 5 innings. Offensively, Seattle managed just 4 hits in the loss.
Yankees at Mariners projected starters
RHP Clarke Schmidt vs. RHP Emerson Hancock
Schmidt (0-1, 4.79 ERA) makes his fifth start. He has allowed 19 hits and 10 walks with 19 K’s through 20 2/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 12-3 home victory over San Diego Padres Tuesday
- 2025 road stats: 1 start (April 21), loss, 4 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 3 BB, 7 K in 6-4 defeat vs. Cleveland Guardians
- Career vs. Mariners: 0-2, 1.72 ERA (15 2/3 IP, 3 ER), 13 H, 6 BB, 20 K in 3 starts
Hancock (1-1, 5.70 ERA) makes his sixth start. He has allowed 30 hits and 7 walks with 17 K’s through 23 2/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 5-3 victory at Athletics Tuesday
- 2025 home stats: 0-1, 12.15 ERA (6 2/3 IP, 9 ER), 16 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 2 starts
- Has never faced Yankees
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Yankees at Mariners odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:59 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Yankees -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Mariners +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+120) | Mariners +1.5 (-145)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Yankees at Mariners picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 6, Mariners 3
The Yankees are 10-9 on the road, but Seattle is 11-14 against teams with winning records this season.
Seattle has struggled offensively to start its 6-game homestand, scoring 3 or fewer runs in each of the first 3 games — all losses. The Mariners have totaled just 7 runs over that stretch.
The Yankees have scored 7 or more runs in 3 straight games and in 4 of their last 5.
The Yankees should take the opener, but you can get better odds on the run line than -150.
PASS.
Ten of the Yankeees’ last 12 wins have been by more than 1 run.
The Mariners are 3-0 ATS as home dogs, compared to the Yankees’ 8-8 ATS mark as road favorites.
But 7 of Seattle’s last 8 losses have been by multiple runs.
BET YANKEES -1.5 (+120).
The Mariners have allowed 6 or more runs in 5 of their last 7 games. The Yankees have scored 7 or more runs in 3 straight games and 4 of their last 5.
The last 7 games for the Mariners have had totals of 8 or more runs.
Four of the last 5 games for the Yankees have had more than 8 total runs.
BET OVER 8 (-110).
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