Rising American faces seasoned Ukrainian in a high-stakes first-time showdown in Rome.
Elina Svitolina follows through on a return to Mirra Andreeva in their quarterfinal match on Stadium 2 at the BNP Paribas Open in Indian Wells, Calif., on Thurs., March 13, 2025.
Peyton Stearns and Elina Svitolina are set to face off for the first time in a high-stakes quarterfinal clash at the Italian Open. The 16th-seeded Svitolina received a first-round bye and began her campaign with a straight-sets win over Jessica Bouzas, sealing the second set in a tiebreak.
She followed it up with a gritty three-set victory over qualifier Hailey Baptiste. In the fourth round, she stunned in-form American Danielle Collins, who had recently dismantled Iga Swiatek, in a commanding straight-sets performance.
Now, the Ukrainian star faces another rising American in Peyton Stearns. The unseeded Stearns opened with a breezy win over wild card Nuria Brancaccio, then upset 28th seed Anna Kalinskaya.
Her path toughened considerably in the next rounds, where she went the distance against two major names: the 2025 Australian Open champion Madison Keys and four-time Grand Slam champion Naomi Osaka. Stearns emerged victorious in both three-set thrillers and now enters her first quarterfinal in Rome riding high on momentum.
Peyton Stearns vs. Elina Svitolina Preview
The Italian Open marks Stearns’ first quarterfinal appearance of the season. Until now, she had struggled to break past the round of 16. Her only two notable runs came in Dubai, where she was ousted by Mirra Andreeva in straight sets. And more recently in Madrid, where Aryna Sabalenka ended her campaign in the fourth round.
The rest of her season has been marred by early exits. Her season stats reflect the inconsistency. Stearns has hit 50 aces and won 60.7% of her first-serve points, but her break point conversion rate remains modest at 43.5%.
Svitolina, by contrast, has made deeper runs, though her results have varied. She opened her season with a strong quarterfinal finish at the Australian Open before falling to Madison Keys. That was followed by early exits in Linz, Qatar, and Dubai. She rebounded with a quarterfinal run at Indian Wells and reached the round of 16 in Miami.
Her breakthrough came at the Open de Rouen, where she clinched the title by defeating Olga Danilovic in straight sets, with a tiebreak in the second. In Madrid, she reached the semifinals before Sabalenka stopped her in straight sets. Statistically, Svitolina has been more dominant: she’s fired 93 aces, won 69.3% of her first-serve points, and converted an impressive 49.6% of her break points.
Peyton Stearns vs. Elina Svitolina Head-to-Head Record
Peyton Stearns and Elina Svitolina do not have a head-to-head yet.
Peyton Stearns vs. Elina Svitolina Comparison
| Peyton Stearns | Category | Elina Svitolina |
|---|---|---|
| 42 | Ranking | 14 |
| 170-117 | Career W-L | 506-265 |
| 11-11 | YTD W-L | 22-7 |
| 1 | Career Titles | 18 |
| 0 | Grand Slams | 0 |
| 0 | YTD Titles | 1 |
Peyton Stearns vs. Elina Svitolina Prediction
This quarterfinal promises a clash of momentum and experience. Stearns is riding high after back-to-back wins over top-tier opponents, but Svitolina’s consistency, big-match experience, and superior serve stats give her the edge. If Stearns maintains her aggressive form, she could push it deep, but Svitolina enters as the slight favorite in a tight contest.
Prediction: Elina Svitolina in straight sets
Read More: Italian Open 2025 ATP Round of 16 Schedule – Who Faces Whom In the Italian Open Round of 16?
Peyton Stearns vs. Elina Svitolina Italian Open 2025 Betting Odds
Here are the betting odds according to BetMGM:
Peyton Stearns: 49/20
Elina Svitolina: 8/25
