Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs – Dustin May vs. Shota Imanaga (7:40 PM, EST)
Under 0.5 Run (-115) at BetMGM Sportsbook
Even though the Los Angeles Dodgers are in first place in the NL West, their position at the top of the division standings is vulnerable should their offense continue to struggle to make contact at a league average rate. A stunning low level of play for an offense who fields Mookie Betts, Shohei Ohtani, and Freddie Freeman, but as of writing the Dodgers rank below league average in Team Total Hits and in On Base Percentage.
Against Chicago, the Dodgers struggles with making contact and getting on base are poised to persist as they face off against Shota Imanaga who excels at avoiding contact. In his five starts, the Cubs NL Cy Young contender has generated an ERA of 2.22 and a WHIP of 0.988 while averaging less than one Hit Against per Inning Pitched. An impressive individual performance when you factor in his back end ranking below league average in Defensive Efficiency.
While the Dodgers have struggled to recapture last year’s success, the Chicago Cubs offense have arguably been the hottest unit in the league as they rank top-5 in the same previously mentioned metrics. Unfortunately for Chicago, they face off against Dustin May who has been equally as impressive this season. May excels at keeping opposing runners off the bases as he enters the contest averaging an ERA of 1.06, a WHIP of 0.765, and a FIP of 2.44.
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San Diego Padres vs. Detroit Tigers – Nick Pivetta vs. Jack Flaherty (6:40 PM, EST)
Under 0.5 Run (-125) at BetRivers Sportsbook
It’s been a stunning turnaround for the Detroit Tigers offense after finishing last season ranked below league average in multiple offensive metrics as their lineup currently resides in the top half of the board in Team Total Hits, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, and in RBIs. Their success on offense has helped them get off to a hot start as the Tigers are also in first place in the AL Central division standings and are rising up the oddsboard for the pennant.
Against the San Diego Padres, negative regression looms large over the Tigers offense as they are set to face off against Nick Pivetta who possesses an explosive arm that is capable of racking up Strikeouts at a quick rate. Since the start of the regular season, Pivetta averages less than one Hit Against and more than one Strikeout per Inning Pitched while generating an ERA of 1.57, a WHIP of 0.826, and a FIP of 2.16.
On the other side of the field, Jack Flaherty also excels at avoiding contact while favoring the plate as the Tigers pitcher averages less than one Hit Against and more than one Strikeout per Inning Pitched. Every bit of his production will be needed against the Padres as he faces off against an offense who ranks top-3 in Contact Rate. Fortunately for Flaherty, he receives a high level of support from his back end as the Tigers defense ranks fourth in Defensive Efficiency.
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Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros – Chris Bassitt vs. Ronel Blanco – Ronel Blanco’s aggressive tendency on the mound has yet to pan out as the Astros pitcher averages over one Hit Against per Inning Pitched while generating an ERA of 6.48 and a WHIP of 1.680. Expect his struggles to continue to persist on Tuesday night as he faces off against a Toronto offense who ranks fifth overall in Team Total Hits.
Texas Rangers vs. Athletics – Patrick Corbin vs. Osvaldo Bido – Even though Patrick Corbin has improved in his new setting, he still possesses an alarmingly high WHIP of 1.393 and is set to face off against an Athletics offense who ranks above league average in Contact Rate, RBIs, and Total Runs Scored.
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