Tennis greatest bets and predictions for Wednesday, July thirtieth:
This week, the ATP and WTA Excursions are in Canada for the 2025 Nationwide Financial institution Open offered by Rogers. The lads are stationed in Toronto for his or her Masters 1000 occasion, and the ladies are enjoying their 1000-level match in Montreal. Sadly, Carlos Alcaraz, Jannik Sinner, Novak Djokovic and Aryna Sabalenka are just a few of the massive names that opted to relaxation up for Cincinnati. Nevertheless, these fields are nonetheless reasonably loaded, so we’re trying ahead to soaking within the motion up north. Ensure you’re coming again to VSiN, the place I’ll be posting each day write-ups on the motion as typically as I can. That continues with the motion on Wednesday, July thirtieth.
Ensure you additionally take a look at the picks web page each couple of hours if you need extra of my motion. I often submit some further picks there, together with my picks for smaller tournaments and Challenger-level occasions. That’s additionally the place you’ll discover picks from Gill Alexander, who does nice work handicapping tennis on A Numbers Sport. You possibly can watch Gill analyze tennis Monday to Friday from 10:00 am to midday ET. That stated, should you like tennis, you may wish to take into account turning into a VSiN Professional.
2025 Report: 933-902-1 (+50.27 models)
Yosuke Watanuki vs. Frances Tiafoe
Again in March, Watanuki and Tiafoe met within the Spherical of 32 on the BNP Paribas Open in Indian Wells. In that match, Watanuki shocked Tiafoe in a 6-4, 7-6 (6) victory. On the time, that appeared prefer it might be a season-changing win for Watanuki. Sadly for him, nothing ever got here from it. He has continued to have an up-and-down yr, and he has largely competed on the Challenger stage. Nevertheless, I do suppose it is a matchup that fits Watanuki fairly properly, so I’m enjoying him to win a set. I’m additionally sprinkling the moneyline.
It’s simply laborious to miss the truth that each of the earlier conferences between these two have been aggressive. When the 2 met in Miami in 2023, Tiafoe needed to battle for a 6-7 (5), 7-6 (3), 6-4 win. Then, Watanuki ended up beating him in Indian Wells. There merely hasn’t been a large hole between them, even though Tiafoe has a a lot better rating.
Watanuki can also be getting Tiafoe at an fascinating time, because the American simply suffered a disappointing quarterfinal exit in his house match in DC. Tiafoe might be a little bit deflated after that end result, which is one thing we now have seen from him earlier than. I’ll additionally add that Watanuki spent a while with coach Wayne Ferreira earlier within the yr. Ferreira was Tiafoe’s coach for years, so Watanuki might be simply very conversant in the American’s sport.
Let’s simply hope Watanuki has an honest serving day. He has an unorthodox movement and that is part of his sport that may get away from him often. In opposition to Tiafoe, he’ll must keep away from lengthy, grueling service video games.
Wager: Watanuki +1.5 Units (-115 – 1.5 models) & Watanuki ML (+275 – 0.5 models)
Pablo Carreno Busta vs. Arthur Fils
Fils hasn’t performed for the reason that French Open, so he’ll be working off some rust in his return from a stress fracture in his again. Nevertheless, it is a matchup he ought to have the ability to deal with at lower than 100% well being. Carreno Busta is just 4-9 on the ATP stage for the reason that begin of 2025, and his break share is a depressing 15.2%. Nicely, if the Spaniard isn’t moving into Fils’ service video games, it’s laborious to think about this being a aggressive match.
Fils is just a greater server, returner and baseliner, and I count on him to seek out his sport in some unspecified time in the future on this match — even when the primary set is a little bit tough. Actually, Fils was capable of cowl a 3.5-game unfold in opposition to Carreno Busta in Barcelona earlier this yr, and that was a house match for the Spaniard. The circumstances had been additionally favorable for Carreno Busta. If he couldn’t cowl there, I don’t see him doing it right here.
Wager: Fils -3.5 Video games (-123)
Maria Sakkari vs. Jessica Pegula
Sakkari is beginning to discover her sport. In Washington DC, the Greek star earned straight-set wins over Katie Boulter and Emma Navarro, and he or she was additionally extraordinarily aggressive in a loss in opposition to a red-hot Emma Raducanu. The 30-year-old now has a troublesome matchup in opposition to Pegula, the back-to-back Nationwide Financial institution Open champion, however she’s getting the American at an excellent time. Pegula misplaced in straight units in opposition to Elisabetta Cocciaretto at Wimbledon, then she bought upset by eventual champion Leylah Fernandez in her first match within the nation’s capital final week. There’s simply not rather a lot that means Pegula’s type is in a great place proper now, however you possibly can positively make that case for Sakkari.
What I’m most considering seeing is the Sakkari serve. She has had a tough time holding in 2025, however she has appeared like a distinct participant with the ball on her racquet over the previous few weeks. Some tools modifications appear to have helped there. Nicely, if Sakkari serves properly in opposition to Pegula, this must be a extremely good match. Everyone knows Sakkari has the baseline sport to hold with the American.
Additionally, whereas Pegula has received three straight matches in opposition to Sakkari, the Greek participant does have 5 wins over the American. So, she ought to know that she will make this a match if she’s simply enjoying some stable tennis.
Wager: Sakkari +1.5 Units (-143 – 1.5 models) & Sakkari ML (+200 – 0.5 models)
Added Performs
I often have A LOT MORE on the Professional Picks web page. These performs depend in direction of my document and have been a giant a part of my success this season. Ensure you verify them out. I’ll most likely add just a few extra over there, so refresh that web page all through the day should you’re in search of motion.
