ATP Masters 1000 Madrid 1/32-Finals
Zverev – Bautista-Agut: 25.04.2025 14:00 CEST
H2H: 5-2
Alexander Zverev has won five straight matches. Last week in Munich, Zverev won the season’s first title, defeating Shelton in the final in straight sets. He enjoys playing in Madrid, where he won the title twice. Last season in Madrid, Zverev lost against Cerundolo in the fourth round.
Roberto Bautista-Agut has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Munich, he lost in the opening round against Van de Zandschulp in three tight sets. This week in Madrid, Bautista-Agut upset Munar in the opening round. Last season in Madrid, the Spaniard lost to Khachanov in the second round in three sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Zverev is the big favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He is coming into this match after securing his season’s first title. We expect him to dominate against Bautista-Agut and win easily.
That being said, Zverev covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Alexander Zverev -4.5 games handicap @1.73 @bet365
Shelton – Navone: 25.04.2025 15:30 CEST
H2H: 2-0
Ben Shelton has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Munich, Shelton had a decent run, finishing as a runner-up. Last season in Madrid, Shelton lost against Bublik in the third round.
Mariano Navone has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Munich, Navone lost against Goffin in the 1/8-Finals. The Argentine enjoys playing on clay, where he had his biggest results. This week in Madrid, Navone won the opening round against Mpetshi Perricard in straight sets. Last season in Madrid, Navone lost against Rune in the second round in three tight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, this will be a 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Shelton had almost no time to rest after playing in Munich. We expect him to be fatigued tomorrow. On the other hand, Navone dominated in the opening round against Mpetshi Perricard. We expect him to be a better player tomorrow.
That being said, Navone winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Mariano Navone winning @2.00 @bet365
Monfils – Rublev: 25.04.2025 20:00 CEST
H2H: 1-3
Gael Monfils has won three of his last five matches. Monfils won the opening round against Gojo this week in Madrid in three tight sets after losing the opening set 1-6.
Andrey Rublev has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Barcelona, Rublev lost against Davidovich Fokina in the 1/8-Finals. He is the defending champion in Madrid. Last season, Rublev defeated Auger-Aliassime in the final.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Rublev is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He enjoys playing in Madrid, where he had decent results over the last couple of seasons. Earlier this season, Rublev defeated Monfils in Monte Carlo under similar conditions. We expect a similar outcome tomorrow as well.
That being said, Rublev covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Andrey Rublev -2.5 games handicap @1.80 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports
